Financial History

The Alternate History- What if Japan Never Signed the Plaza Accord?

The Alternate History: What if Japan Never Signed the Plaza Accord?

In September 1985, finance ministers from five of the world’s largest economies gathered at the Plaza Hotel in New York City. The carpets were expensive. The chandeliers were ridiculous. And the agreement they signed would quietly detonate one of the most spectacular economic bubbles in modern history. The Plaza Accord was, on paper, a gentlemanly […]

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If Kerviel Had Won- Would He Be the CEO of Société Générale Today?

If Kerviel Had Won: Would He Be the CEO of Société Générale Today?

In January 2008, Société Générale announced a loss of 4.9 billion euros. The culprit was a junior trader named Jérôme Kerviel, who had built up unauthorized positions worth roughly 50 billion euros. The bank unwound those positions in a panic, the market absorbed the shock, and Kerviel became the most famous rogue trader since Nick

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Why Quantitative Models Fail- What LTCM's Collapse Teaches Risk Managers

Why Quantitative Models Fail: What LTCM’s Collapse Teaches Risk Managers

Why Quantitative Models Fail: The Lesson Hidden Inside LTCM’s Collapse In the autumn of 1998, two Nobel Prize winners and the sharpest mathematical minds on Wall Street watched billions of dollars evaporate in a matter of weeks. The collapse of Long Term Capital Management has been retold a thousand times as a parable about hubris,

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